CHATTANOOGA
MOCSUTC
1-2 | Road
73
FLORIDA GULF COAST
EAGLESFGCU
1-2 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
MOCS
0%
EAGLES
100%
MOCS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
CHATTANOOGA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Chattanooga)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTC -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTC)
UTC By 1-7 points
25.3%
UTC By 8-14 points
26.2%
FGCU By 1-7 points
13.7%
FGCU By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Chattanooga
95
CHATTANOOGA
Florida Gulf Coast
87
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Simulated Score
Chattanooga
75
CHATTANOOGA
Florida Gulf Coast
72
FLORIDA GULF COAST
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mocs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mocs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mocs (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Mocs (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o152.5
Win
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
UTC @ FGCU
73 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+19.1% more
Chattanooga: 17.9
vs
Florida Gulf Coast: 14.5
Turnovers (L5)
+15.7% more
Chattanooga: 10.3
vs
Florida Gulf Coast: 8.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+10.6%
Chattanooga: 74.2%
vs
Florida Gulf Coast: 63.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
Chattanooga: 34.9%
vs
Florida Gulf Coast: 31.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTC Score
95.0
73
FGCU Score
87.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 34.9
40.0 / 30.0
Assists
14.5 / 17.9
19.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.0 / 1.9
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.5 / 44.3
52.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
63.6 / 74.2
87.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
44.2 / 29.5
40.0 / 27.0
Steals
6.5 / 6.4
7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
8.7 / 10.3
8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTC
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
FGCU
Advantage
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTC
Advantage
12-17-0
(41.4%)
Margin: 1.4
ATS +/-: -3.7
FGCU
9-22-1
(29.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UTC
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.8
FGCU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FGCU
UTC
FGCU
UTC
ML
58%
19-14
48%
15-16
67%
22-11
53%
16-14
ATS
61%
20-13
52%
16-15
67%
22-11
55%
17-14
TTL
61%
20-13
77%
24-7
100%
33-0
100%
31-0
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