STONY BROOK
SEAWOLVESSTBK
3-0 | Road
79
YALE
BULLDOGSYALE
2-0 | Home
86
AI Model Win Probability
SEAWOLVES
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
SEAWOLVES
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
116.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
YALE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Yale)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around YALE -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (YALE)
STBK By 1-7 points
20.1%
STBK By 8-14 points
9.3%
YALE By 1-7 points
27.4%
YALE By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Stony Brook
56
STONY BROOK
Yale
60
YALE
Simulated Score
Stony Brook
68
STONY BROOK
Yale
75
YALE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+19.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Loss
Proj Total: 116.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
STBK @ YALE
79 - 86
Nov 20, 2024
YALE @ STBK
86 - 64
Nov 29, 2023
STBK @ YALE
71 - 79
Dec 3, 2022
YALE @ STBK
77 - 72
Nov 28, 2021
STBK @ YALE
85 - 81
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.6%
Yale: 46.1%
vs
Stony Brook: 35.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
Yale: 51.7%
vs
Stony Brook: 45.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.1%
Yale: 75.0%
vs
Stony Brook: 71.9%
Steals (L5)
+25.9% more
Stony Brook: 9.2
vs
Yale: 6.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STBK Score
56.0
79
YALE Score
60.0
86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
46.1 / 35.5
53.0 / 48.0
Assists
17.0 / 15.7
16.0 / 13.0
Blocks
3.7 / 3.7
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
51.7 / 45.9
50.0 / 54.0
Free Throw %
75.0 / 71.9
85.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
33.6 / 41.0
30.0 / 21.0
Steals
6.8 / 9.2
3.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 10.1
10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STBK
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
YALE
Advantage
24-7-0
(77.4%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STBK
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.6
ATS +/-: +1.4
YALE
12-16-1
(42.9%)
Margin: 10.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
STBK
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
YALE
15-14-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.3%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
YALE
STBK
YALE
STBK
ML
48%
15-16
61%
19-12
58%
18-13
71%
22-9
ATS
65%
20-11
61%
19-12
58%
18-13
71%
22-9
TTL
61%
19-12
65%
20-11
100%
31-0
100%
31-0
Contextual Game News
Nick Saban Declares Georgia the Most Complete Team in College Fo…
Kirby Smart Stays Silent on Nate Frazier's Injury Status as Geor…
Georgia Bulldogs Set to Clash with Oklahoma Sooners as Heavy Fav…
Georgia Bulldogs Release Availability Report for SEC Opener at A…
Georgia Loses Starting Defensive Lineman Xzavier McLeod Just Day…