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DELAWARE STATE

HORNETSDSU

0-3  |  Road

52
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 1:00 PM ET
Jeffery P. Hazell Athletics Center
View Odds Details →

NEW HAVEN

CHARGERSNHVN

1-3  |  Home

65
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
📊
CHARGERS
0%
HORNETS --
CHARGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
NEW HAVEN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (New Haven)
HornetsDSU (-3.5) 0 ChargersNHVN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

0.0%

Chargers Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NHVN -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NHVN)

DSU By 1-7 points

0.0%

DSU By 8-14 points

0.0%

NHVN By 1-7 points

0.1%

NHVN By 8-14 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
45
DELAWARE STATE
83
NEW HAVEN
Simulated Score
63
DELAWARE STATE
78
NEW HAVEN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Chargers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Chargers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Chargers (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
D
Sim Chargers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u130.5 Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u130.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 DSU @ NHVN 52 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +71.7% more
New Haven: 2.4 vs Delaware State: 1.4
Turnovers (L5) +13.4% more
New Haven: 13.9 vs Delaware State: 12.3
Field Goal % (L5) +3.9%
New Haven: 42.9% vs Delaware State: 39.0%
Assists (L5) +22.4% more
Delaware State: 10.0 vs New Haven: 7.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DSU Score 45.0 52
NHVN Score 83.0 65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.7 / 30.8 27.0 / 26.0
Assists 7.7 / 10.0 11.0 / 6.0
Blocks 2.4 / 1.4 1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 42.9 / 39.0 47.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 61.1 / 72.9 75.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 28.4 / 32.7 41.0 / 26.0
Steals 6.4 / 7.0 8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 12.3 17.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
30%MONEY70%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
39%TICKETS61%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DSU
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
NHVN Advantage
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DSU
9-17-0 (34.6%)
Margin: -9.3 ATS +/-: -3.1
NHVN Advantage
15-13-0 (53.6%)
Margin: -1.4 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
DSU
7-19-0
O: 26.9% / U: 73.1% Total +/-: -5.3
NHVN
8-20-0
O: 28.6% / U: 71.4% Total +/-: -3.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NHVN
DSU
NHVN
DSU
ML
71% 22-9
60% 18-12
68% 21-10
75% 18-6
ATS
74% 23-8
60% 18-12
68% 21-10
72% 18-7
TTL
42% 13-18
57% 17-13
100% 31-0
100% 25-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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