Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Terrapins @ Golden Eagles MD @ MARQ

MARYLAND

TERRAPINSMD

2-1  |  Road

89
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 2:00 PM ET
Fiserv Forum
View Odds Details →

MARQUETTE

GOLDEN EAGLESMARQ

3-1  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
TERRAPINS
0%
📊
GOLDEN EAGLES
100%
TERRAPINS --
GOLDEN EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
157.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
MARYLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Maryland)
TerrapinsMD (-3.5) 0 Golden EaglesMARQ (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Terrapins Cover

86.4%

Golden Eagles Cover

13.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MD -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MD)

MD By 1-7 points

21.6%

MD By 8-14 points

27.4%

MARQ By 1-7 points

9.3%

MARQ By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
84
MARYLAND
73
MARQUETTE
Simulated Score
70
MARYLAND
74
MARQUETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Terrapins Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Terrapins (-8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim Golden Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o145.5 Win
Proj Total: 157.0
D
Sim u145.5 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 MD @ MARQ 89 - 82
Nov 15, 2024 MARQ @ MD 78 - 74
Dec 1, 2019 MD @ MARQ 84 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +10.9% more
Maryland: 12.9 vs Marquette: 11.5
Free Throw % (L5) +7.4%
Maryland: 78.9% vs Marquette: 71.5%
Assists (L5) +48.1% more
Marquette: 16.2 vs Maryland: 10.9
Steals (L5) +32.8% more
Marquette: 9.4 vs Maryland: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MD Score 84.0 89
MARQ Score 73.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.8 / 30.2 28.0 / 36.0
Assists 16.2 / 10.9 16.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.9 / 2.4 1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 41.7 37.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 71.5 / 78.9 68.0 / 85.0
Rebounding 38.9 / 34.9 44.0 / 35.0
Steals 9.4 / 7.1 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.5 / 12.9 11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
13%MONEY87%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MD
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -2.6
MARQ Advantage
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MD Advantage
16-17-0 (48.5%)
Margin: -6.9 ATS +/-: -2.6
MARQ
12-19-1 (38.7%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MD
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: -0.8
MARQ
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -1.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MARQ
MD
MARQ
MD
ML
59% 19-13
70% 23-10
62% 20-12
67% 22-11
ATS
53% 17-15
64% 21-12
62% 20-12
67% 22-11
TTL
50% 16-16
64% 21-12
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Rutgers Lands Four-Star Forward Brandon Woodard for 2027 Class
yahoo 1 week, 1 day ago
Chicago Bulls Open Training Camp with New Regime and Roster Batt…
si 1 week, 2 days ago
Big Ten Road Warriors: Historic Saturday Shakes Up Conference Po…
headtopics 1 week, 4 days ago
UCLA's Dominant Road Win Over Maryland: Four Interceptions and E…
headtopics 1 week, 4 days ago
UCLA Bruins Dominate Maryland 54-3, Improve to 4-0 Under Bob Che…
si 1 week, 5 days ago