MIAMI (OH)
REDHAWKSM-OH
2-0 | Road
76
AIR FORCE
FALCONSAF
0-3 | Home
61
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
0%
FALCONS
100%
REDHAWKS
--
FALCONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
MIAMI (OH)
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Miami (OH))
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around M-OH -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (M-OH)
M-OH By 1-7 points
12.2%
M-OH By 8-14 points
23.0%
AF By 1-7 points
3.3%
AF By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Miami (OH)
82
MIAMI (OH)
Air Force
65
AIR FORCE
Simulated Score
Miami (OH)
70
MIAMI (OH)
Air Force
72
AIR FORCE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
RedHawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Falcons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
RedHawks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Falcons (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
M-OH @ AF
76 - 61
Dec 2, 2024
AF @ M-OH
60 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+44.5% more
Miami (OH): 5.0
vs
Air Force: 2.8
Assists (L5)
+26.4% more
Miami (OH): 17.9
vs
Air Force: 13.2
Rebounding (L5)
+17.3% more
Miami (OH): 40.0
vs
Air Force: 33.1
Steals (L5)
+16.9% more
Miami (OH): 8.9
vs
Air Force: 7.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
M-OH Score
82.0
76
AF Score
65.0
61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 48.9
28.0 / 42.0
Assists
13.2 / 17.9
12.0 / 14.0
Blocks
2.8 / 5.0
0.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.7 / 54.2
41.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
58.9 / 73.3
64.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
33.1 / 40.0
31.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.4 / 8.9
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
16.6 / 12.3
12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
M-OH
Advantage
32-2-0
(94.1%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
AF
3-29-0
(9.4%)
Margin: -18.3
ATS +/-: -4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
M-OH
Advantage
20-11-0
(64.5%)
Margin: 14.1
ATS +/-: +3.2
AF
10-21-1
(32.3%)
Margin: -18.3
ATS +/-: -4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
M-OH
20-11-0
O: 64.5% / U: 35.5%
Total +/-: +5.6
AF
19-13-0
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AF
M-OH
AF
M-OH
ML
81%
26-6
45%
15-18
62%
20-12
41%
13-19
ATS
69%
22-10
61%
20-13
62%
20-12
41%
13-19
TTL
69%
22-10
61%
20-13
100%
32-0
100%
32-0
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