HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
2-1 | Road
75
ARMY
BLACK KNIGHTSARMY
1-2 | Home
52
AI Model Win Probability
CRIMSON
100%
BLACK KNIGHTS
0%
CRIMSON
--
BLACK KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.0
ARMY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.0 points (Army)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ARMY -20.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARMY)
HARV By 1-7 points
1.7%
HARV By 8-14 points
0.3%
ARMY By 1-7 points
8.0%
ARMY By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Harvard
65
HARVARD
Army
85
ARMY
Simulated Score
Harvard
68
HARVARD
Army
72
ARMY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Black Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Black Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Black Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -20.0
D
Sim
Black Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
HARV @ ARMY
75 - 52
Dec 8, 2023
ARMY @ HARV
64 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+9.0% more
Army: 13.6
vs
Harvard: 12.5
Blocks (L5)
+74.6% more
Harvard: 3.8
vs
Army: 1.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.0%
Harvard: 80.6%
vs
Army: 67.6%
Steals (L5)
+10.8% more
Harvard: 7.5
vs
Army: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HARV Score
65.0
75
ARMY Score
85.0
52
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.6 / 35.9
20.0 / 39.0
Assists
13.6 / 12.5
11.0 / 16.0
Blocks
1.0 / 3.8
0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
37.1 / 44.8
38.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
67.6 / 80.6
58.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
33.7 / 34.5
31.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.7 / 7.5
6.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
12.1 / 12.1
16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HARV
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
ARMY
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HARV
Advantage
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
ARMY
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
ARMY
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARMY
HARV
ARMY
HARV
ML
44%
14-18
45%
13-16
50%
16-16
52%
15-14
ATS
44%
14-18
45%
13-16
50%
16-16
52%
15-14
TTL
81%
26-6
41%
12-17
100%
32-0
100%
29-0
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