Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Patriots UNH @ GMU

NEW HAMPSHIRE

WILDCATSUNH

2-2  |  Road

44
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 2:00 PM ET
EagleBank Arena
View Odds Details →

GEORGE MASON

PATRIOTSGMU

3-0  |  Home

61
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
PATRIOTS
0%
WILDCATS --
PATRIOTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
GEORGE MASON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (George Mason)
WildcatsUNH (-3.5) 0 PatriotsGMU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

46.0%

Patriots Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GMU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GMU)

UNH By 1-7 points

24.3%

UNH By 8-14 points

13.7%

GMU By 1-7 points

26.2%

GMU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
72
NEW HAMPSHIRE
73
GEORGE MASON
Simulated Score
65
NEW HAMPSHIRE
73
GEORGE MASON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Patriots Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Patriots Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Patriots (+24.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Patriots (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o144.5 Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim u144.5 Win
Proj Total: 138.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 UNH @ GMU 44 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +46.9% more
George Mason: 15.5 vs New Hampshire: 10.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +21.9%
George Mason: 54.7% vs New Hampshire: 32.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.5%
George Mason: 50.9% vs New Hampshire: 45.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.8%
George Mason: 78.9% vs New Hampshire: 74.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNH Score 72.0 44
GMU Score 73.0 61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 54.7 / 32.8 10.0 / 22.0
Assists 11.5 / 14.1 13.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.3 / 3.1 6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 50.9 / 45.3 35.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 78.9 / 74.2 78.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 37.0 / 39.7 44.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.0 / 6.5 11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 15.5 / 10.5 12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNH
9-21-0 (30.0%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -2.3
GMU Advantage
23-10-0 (69.7%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNH
12-16-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -5.4 ATS +/-: -2.3
GMU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 5.5 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UNH
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4% Total +/-: +0.8
GMU
15-17-0
O: 46.9% / U: 53.1% Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GMU
UNH
GMU
UNH
ML
55% 18-15
70% 19-8
73% 24-9
74% 20-7
ATS
55% 18-15
67% 18-9
73% 24-9
74% 20-7
TTL
58% 19-14
59% 16-11
100% 33-0
100% 27-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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