Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bearcats @ Lancers BING @ LONG

BINGHAMTON

BEARCATSBING

1-4  |  Road

82
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 3:00 PM ET
Joan Perry Brock Center
View Odds Details →

LONGWOOD

LANCERSLONG

3-1  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
BEARCATS
100%
📊
LANCERS
0%
BEARCATS --
LANCERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
106.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
LONGWOOD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Longwood)
BearcatsBING (-3.5) 0 LancersLONG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bearcats Cover

21.2%

Lancers Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LONG -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LONG)

BING By 1-7 points

13.7%

BING By 8-14 points

4.8%

LONG By 1-7 points

25.3%

LONG By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
49
BINGHAMTON
57
LONGWOOD
Simulated Score
68
BINGHAMTON
72
LONGWOOD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Lancers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Lancers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Lancers (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Lancers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Loss
Proj Total: 106.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 BING @ LONG 82 - 90
Nov 19, 2024 LONG @ BING 66 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +138.3% more
Longwood: 9.0 vs Binghamton: 3.8
Rebounding (L5) +20.7% more
Longwood: 40.3 vs Binghamton: 33.4
Assists (L5) +12.7% more
Longwood: 11.9 vs Binghamton: 10.6
Free Throw % (L5) +3.6%
Longwood: 79.8% vs Binghamton: 76.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BING Score 49.0 82
LONG Score 57.0 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 23.9 / 27.7 28.0 / 25.0
Assists 11.9 / 10.6 16.0 / 14.0
Blocks 1.4 / 4.2 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 40.7 / 40.3 46.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 79.8 / 76.2 77.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 40.3 / 33.4 32.0 / 39.0
Steals 9.0 / 3.8 14.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 12.3 11.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
1%TICKETS99%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
1%MONEY99%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BING
8-23-0 (25.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -1.7
LONG Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BING Advantage
14-13-0 (51.8%)
Margin: -7.0 ATS +/-: -1.7
LONG
13-16-0 (44.8%)
Margin: 3.6 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BING
15-12-0
O: 55.6% / U: 44.4% Total +/-: +5.2
LONG
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4% Total +/-: +2.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LONG
BING
LONG
BING
ML
65% 20-11
67% 20-10
68% 21-10
57% 17-13
ATS
68% 21-10
73% 22-8
68% 21-10
57% 17-13
TTL
65% 20-11
70% 21-9
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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