Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Miners @ Aggies UTEP @ USU

UTEP

MINERSUTEP

2-1  |  Road

51
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 4:00 PM ET
Dee Glen Smith Spectrum
View Odds Details →

UTAH STATE

AGGIESUSU

3-0  |  Home

75
AI Model Win Probability
MINERS
100%
📊
AGGIES
0%
MINERS --
AGGIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
UTAH STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Utah State)
MinersUTEP (-3.5) 0 AggiesUSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Miners Cover

0.6%

Aggies Cover

99.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USU -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USU)

UTEP By 1-7 points

0.5%

UTEP By 8-14 points

0.1%

USU By 1-7 points

3.3%

USU By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
67
UTEP
92
UTAH STATE
Simulated Score
65
UTEP
78
UTAH STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Aggies Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Aggies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Aggies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Aggies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 UTEP @ USU 51 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +15.9% more
Utah State: 17.3 vs UTEP: 14.9
Rebounding (L5) +12.6% more
Utah State: 38.1 vs UTEP: 33.9
Turnovers (L5) +9.8% more
Utah State: 10.9 vs UTEP: 9.9
Field Goal % (L5) +2.2%
Utah State: 46.4% vs UTEP: 44.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTEP Score 67.0 51
USU Score 92.0 75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 29.8 / 37.4 26.0 / 19.0
Assists 17.3 / 14.9 14.0 / 5.0
Blocks 3.4 / 3.9 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.4 / 44.2 48.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 73.4 / 71.3 64.0 / 53.0
Rebounding 38.1 / 33.9 41.0 / 24.0
Steals 10.4 / 10.0 11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 10.9 / 9.9 17.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
69%MONEY31%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
29%MONEY71%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTEP
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -1.7
USU Advantage
29-7-0 (80.6%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTEP Advantage
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -1.7
USU
16-19-0 (45.7%)
Margin: 11.4 ATS +/-: +1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6% Total +/-: -1.2
USU
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USU
UTEP
USU
UTEP
ML
49% 17-18
70% 21-9
66% 21-11
72% 21-8
ATS
74% 26-9
57% 17-13
67% 22-11
73% 22-8
TTL
51% 18-17
60% 18-12
100% 33-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…
aggieswire 15 hours, 46 minutes ago
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…
aggieswire 4 days, 16 hours ago
UTEP Men's Basketball Unveils 2026-27 Schedule: Mountain West De…
kvia 1 week, 2 days ago
Texas A&M's Blowout Loss to LSU: Five Critical Takeaways
headtopics 1 week, 4 days ago
Texas A&M vs. LSU: Aggies' Playoff Hopes Hang in the Balance as …
si 1 week, 5 days ago