Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Monarchs @ Revolutionaries ODU @ GW

OLD DOMINION

MONARCHSODU

2-1  |  Road

73
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 6:00 PM ET
Charles E. Smith Center
View Odds Details →

GEORGE WASHINGTON

REVOLUTIONARIESGW

3-0  |  Home

96
AI Model Win Probability
MONARCHS
0%
📊
REVOLUTIONARIES
100%
MONARCHS --
REVOLUTIONARIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
134.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+6.0
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
MonarchsODU (-3.5) 0 RevolutionariesGW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Monarchs Cover

27.4%

Revolutionaries Cover

72.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GW +6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GW)

ODU By 1-7 points

26.8%

ODU By 8-14 points

24.3%

GW By 1-7 points

16.9%

GW By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
70
OLD DOMINION
64
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
69
OLD DOMINION
73
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Monarchs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Revolutionaries Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Revolutionaries (+14.5) Win
Proj Spread: +6.0
D
Sim Revolutionaries (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u155.5 Loss
Proj Total: 134.0
D
Sim u155.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 ODU @ GW 73 - 96
Dec 7, 2024 GW @ ODU 78 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +51.4% more
Old Dominion: 4.6 vs George Washington: 2.3
Free Throw % (L5) +5.8%
Old Dominion: 76.5% vs George Washington: 70.7%
Turnovers (L5) +41.5% more
George Washington: 15.9 vs Old Dominion: 11.2
Steals (L5) +35.5% more
George Washington: 8.6 vs Old Dominion: 6.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ODU Score 70.0 73
GW Score 64.0 96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.2 / 25.0 27.0 / 42.0
Assists 15.9 / 12.4 14.0 / 14.0
Blocks 2.3 / 4.6 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.9 / 42.7 49.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 70.7 / 76.5 72.0 / 68.0
Rebounding 39.9 / 38.5 38.0 / 41.0
Steals 8.6 / 6.3 9.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 15.9 / 11.2 6.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
16%MONEY84%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
51%MONEY49%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
2%MONEY98%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ODU
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
GW Advantage
19-16-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ODU Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +0.7
GW
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ODU
21-10-1
O: 67.7% / U: 32.3% Total +/-: +3.0
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GW
ODU
GW
ODU
ML
63% 22-13
52% 17-16
60% 21-14
67% 22-11
ATS
69% 24-11
70% 23-10
60% 21-14
67% 22-11
TTL
60% 21-14
70% 23-10
100% 35-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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