PORTLAND
PILOTSPORT
3-0 | Road
56
WYOMING
COWBOYSWYO
3-0 | Home
93
AI Model Win Probability
PILOTS
0%
COWBOYS
100%
PILOTS
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Portland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PORT -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PORT)
PORT By 1-7 points
12.2%
PORT By 8-14 points
23.0%
WYO By 1-7 points
3.3%
WYO By 8-14 points
0.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
78
PORTLAND
Wyoming
61
WYOMING
Simulated Score
Portland
69
PORTLAND
Wyoming
73
WYOMING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pilots
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pilots (-11.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u160.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
PORT @ WYO
56 - 93
Dec 1, 2023
WYO @ PORT
70 - 81
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+27.1% more
Portland: 3.0
vs
Wyoming: 2.2
Turnovers (L5)
+13.6% more
Portland: 15.1
vs
Wyoming: 13.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.0%
Portland: 74.5%
vs
Wyoming: 63.5%
Steals (L5)
+32.1% more
Wyoming: 8.1
vs
Portland: 6.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PORT Score
78.0
56
WYO Score
61.0
93
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 33.2
39.0 / 17.0
Assists
16.4 / 17.3
23.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.2 / 3.0
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.6 / 45.9
46.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
63.5 / 74.5
82.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
41.7 / 38.2
48.0 / 31.0
Steals
8.1 / 6.2
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 15.1
10.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PORT
15-19-0
(44.1%)
Margin: -4.1
ATS +/-: +0.2
WYO
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PORT
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -4.1
ATS +/-: +0.2
WYO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
PORT
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3%
Total +/-: -1.0
WYO
16-16-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WYO
PORT
WYO
PORT
ML
52%
17-16
48%
16-17
70%
23-10
82%
27-6
ATS
64%
21-12
67%
22-11
70%
23-10
82%
28-6
TTL
64%
21-12
55%
18-15
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
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