Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Phoenix @ Golden Gophers GB @ MINN

GREEN BAY

PHOENIXGB

1-3  |  Road

65
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 9:00 PM ET
Williams Arena
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

GOLDEN GOPHERSMINN

2-1  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
100%
📊
GOLDEN GOPHERS
0%
PHOENIX --
GOLDEN GOPHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
141.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-25.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +25.0 points (Minnesota)
PhoenixGB (-3.5) 0 Golden GophersMINN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Phoenix Cover

0.6%

Golden Gophers Cover

99.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MINN -25.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MINN)

GB By 1-7 points

0.5%

GB By 8-14 points

0.1%

MINN By 1-7 points

3.3%

MINN By 8-14 points

10.7%

AI Model Projected Score
58
GREEN BAY
83
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
71
GREEN BAY
78
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Golden Gophers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Golden Gophers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Golden Gophers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -25.0
D
Sim Golden Gophers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 GB @ MINN 65 - 72
Dec 22, 2021 GB @ MINN 56 - 72
Nov 25, 2020 GB @ MINN 69 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +42.9% more
Minnesota: 6.3 vs Green Bay: 4.4
Rebounding (L5) +14.7% more
Minnesota: 39.6 vs Green Bay: 34.6
Free Throw % (L5) +1.5%
Minnesota: 67.0% vs Green Bay: 65.4%
Blocks (L5) +24.2% more
Green Bay: 4.3 vs Minnesota: 3.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GB Score 58.0 65
MINN Score 83.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.7 / 28.9 27.0 / 27.0
Assists 15.7 / 16.4 17.0 / 13.0
Blocks 3.3 / 4.3 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.3 / 44.7 42.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 67.0 / 65.4 51.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 39.6 / 34.6 41.0 / 37.0
Steals 6.3 / 4.4 10.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 11.3 8.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
0%MONEY100%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
25%MONEY75%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
52%MONEY48%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB Advantage
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
MINN
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB Advantage
19-12-0 (61.3%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
MINN
14-18-1 (43.8%)
Margin: 0.9 ATS +/-: -1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +2.1
MINN
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: -3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MINN
GB
MINN
GB
ML
48% 16-17
48% 16-17
71% 22-9
67% 22-11
ATS
55% 18-15
52% 17-16
71% 22-9
67% 22-11
TTL
52% 17-16
58% 19-14
100% 31-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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