Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Anteaters WEB @ UCI

WEBER STATE

WILDCATSWEB

1-2  |  Road

70
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 10:00 PM ET
Bren Events Center
View Odds Details →

UC IRVINE

ANTEATERSUCI

2-1  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
ANTEATERS
0%
WILDCATS --
ANTEATERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
119.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
UC IRVINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (UC Irvine)
WildcatsWEB (-3.5) 0 AnteatersUCI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

30.9%

Anteaters Cover

69.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UCI -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UCI)

WEB By 1-7 points

18.6%

WEB By 8-14 points

8.0%

UCI By 1-7 points

27.2%

UCI By 8-14 points

23.0%

AI Model Projected Score
57
WEBER STATE
62
UC IRVINE
Simulated Score
68
WEBER STATE
72
UC IRVINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Anteaters Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Anteaters Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Anteaters (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim Anteaters (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 119.0
D
Sim u150.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 15, 2025 WEB @ UCI 70 - 79
Nov 22, 2024 UCI @ WEB 93 - 87
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +234.0% more
UC Irvine: 6.3 vs Weber State: 1.9
Assists (L5) +89.3% more
UC Irvine: 25.2 vs Weber State: 13.3
Steals (L5) +37.2% more
UC Irvine: 8.8 vs Weber State: 6.4
Field Goal % (L5) +9.2%
UC Irvine: 52.6% vs Weber State: 43.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WEB Score 57.0 70
UCI Score 62.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.3 / 31.8 23.0 / 18.0
Assists 25.2 / 13.3 16.0 / 12.0
Blocks 6.3 / 1.9 9.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 52.6 / 43.4 45.0 / 35.0
Free Throw % 66.9 / 73.9 68.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 47.3 / 45.0 44.0 / 41.0
Steals 8.8 / 6.4 8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 12.0 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
10%MONEY90%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
36%TICKETS64%
14%MONEY86%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WEB
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
UCI Advantage
23-12-0 (65.7%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WEB Advantage
16-14-0 (53.3%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
UCI
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WEB
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +3.7
UCI
12-21-0
O: 36.4% / U: 63.6% Total +/-: -2.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UCI
WEB
UCI
WEB
ML
57% 20-15
73% 22-8
53% 18-16
73% 22-8
ATS
63% 22-13
63% 19-11
53% 18-16
74% 23-8
TTL
57% 20-15
83% 25-5
100% 34-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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