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BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

11-8-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Nov 15 • 7:00 PM ET
Bell Centre
View Odds Details →

MONTREAL

CANADIENSMTL

10-5-2  |  Home

2
Goaltending
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
@
Sam Montembeault
GOALTENDER

Sam Montembeault

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jeremy Swayman None-None 2.01 0.929 --
Sam Montembeault None-None 3.09 0.870 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.01 Ldr GAA 3.09
0.929 Ldr Save % 0.870
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
📊
CANADIENS
0%
BRUINS --
CANADIENS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
MONTREAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Montreal)
BruinsBOS (-3.5) 0 CanadiensMTL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bruins Cover

30.9%

Canadiens Cover

69.1%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around MTL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MTL)

BOS By 1 goal

12.1%

BOS By 2-3 goals

9.3%

MTL By 1 goal

19.7%

MTL By 2-3 goals

29.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3
BOSTON
4
MONTREAL
Simulated Score
2
BOSTON
4
MONTREAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Canadiens Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canadiens Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Canadiens (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim Canadiens (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 17, 2026 BOS @ MTL 2 - 3
Jan 24, 2026 MTL @ BOS 3 - 4
Dec 23, 2025 MTL @ BOS 6 - 2
Nov 15, 2025 BOS @ MTL 3 - 2
Apr 3, 2025 BOS @ MTL 1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5) +2.1%
Montreal: 47.0% vs Boston: 44.9%
Power Play % (L5) +37.2%
Boston: 46.7% vs Montreal: 9.5%
Shots on Goal (L5) +16.2% more
Boston: 27.3 vs Montreal: 22.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 3.0 3
MTL Score 4.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.0 / 14.6 22.0 / 16.0
Faceoff % 47.0 / 44.9 41.1 / 58.9
Hits 24.2 / 24.1 27.0 / 27.0
Power Play % 9.5 / 46.7 0.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal 22.8 / 27.3 28.0 / 23.0
Takeaways 4.5 / 4.9 7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
68%MONEY32%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
28%MONEY72%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
81%MONEY19%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MTL
BOS
MTL
BOS
ML
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
100% 3-0
50% 2-2
TTL
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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