EDMONTON
OILERSEDM
8-7-4 | Road
4
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
12-5-0 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Frederik Andersen
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Sean Walker
#26 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederik Andersen | None-None | 3.98 | 0.826 | -- |
| Sean Walker | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.98
GAA
--
0.826
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
OILERS
100%
HURRICANES
0%
OILERS
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Carolina)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
EDM By 1 goal
12.1%
EDM By 2-3 goals
9.3%
CAR By 1 goal
19.7%
CAR By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Edmonton
3
EDMONTON
Carolina
4
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Edmonton
2
EDMONTON
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Hurricanes
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Hurricanes (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Hurricanes (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
CAR @ EDM
6 - 3
Nov 15, 2025
EDM @ CAR
4 - 3
Mar 1, 2025
EDM @ CAR
3 - 1
Oct 22, 2024
CAR @ EDM
3 - 2
Dec 6, 2023
CAR @ EDM
1 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+45.7% more
Carolina: 5.9
vs
Edmonton: 4.1
Hits (L5)
+29.2% more
Carolina: 19.9
vs
Edmonton: 15.4
Shots on Goal (L5)
+27.9% more
Carolina: 35.8
vs
Edmonton: 28.0
Power Play % (L5)
+15.9%
Carolina: 28.2%
vs
Edmonton: 12.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EDM Score
3.0
4
CAR Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
8.7 / 14.4
11.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
50.6 / 51.9
42.6 / 57.4
Hits
19.9 / 15.4
17.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
28.2 / 12.3
0.0 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
35.8 / 28.0
36.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
5.9 / 4.1
8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
EDM
CAR
EDM
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
25%
1-3
TTL
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
25%
1-3
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