NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
12-4-1 | Road
3
WASHINGTON
CAPITALSWSH
8-8-1 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Jake Allen
#34 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Logan Thompson
#48 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | None-None | 1.85 | 0.935 | -- |
| Logan Thompson | None-None | 1.85 | 0.935 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.85
GAA
1.85
0.935
Save %
0.935
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
100%
CAPITALS
0%
DEVILS
--
CAPITALS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around WSH -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
NJ By 1 goal
12.1%
NJ By 2-3 goals
9.3%
WSH By 1 goal
19.7%
WSH By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New Jersey
2
NEW JERSEY
Washington
3
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
New Jersey
3
NEW JERSEY
Washington
4
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Capitals
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Capitals
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Capitals (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Capitals (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
WSH @ NJ
3 - 7
Mar 20, 2026
NJ @ WSH
1 - 2
Dec 27, 2025
WSH @ NJ
4 - 3
Nov 15, 2025
NJ @ WSH
3 - 2
Sep 28, 2025
WSH @ NJ
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+21.4% more
Washington: 5.6
vs
New Jersey: 4.6
Blocked Shots (L5)
+13.7% more
Washington: 14.8
vs
New Jersey: 13.1
Hits (L5)
+10.5% more
New Jersey: 18.0
vs
Washington: 16.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJ Score
2.0
3
WSH Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.8 / 13.1
16.0 / 21.0
Faceoff %
50.9 / 50.9
47.5 / 52.5
Hits
16.1 / 18.0
26.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
7.5 / 8.6
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
32.7 / 32.2
31.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
5.6 / 4.6
8.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
NJ
WSH
NJ
ML
100%
3-0
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
67%
2-1
ATS
100%
3-0
0%
0-3
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
TTL
33%
1-2
0%
0-2-1
33%
1-2
50%
1-1-1
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