WINNIPEG
JETSWPG
10-7-0 | Road
4
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
5-12-2 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Connor Hellebuyck
#37 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hellebuyck | None-None | 2.77 | 0.912 | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 2.79 | 0.870 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.77 Ldr
GAA
2.79
0.912 Ldr
Save %
0.870
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
JETS
0%
FLAMES
100%
JETS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WINNIPEG
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Winnipeg)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around WPG -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WPG)
WPG By 1 goal
17.5%
WPG By 2-3 goals
37.2%
CGY By 1 goal
6.6%
CGY By 2-3 goals
3.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Winnipeg
3
WINNIPEG
Calgary
1
CALGARY
Simulated Score
Winnipeg
2
WINNIPEG
Calgary
4
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jets
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jets (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 15, 2025
WPG @ CGY
4 - 3
Oct 24, 2025
CGY @ WPG
3 - 5
Oct 20, 2025
WPG @ CGY
2 - 1
Oct 3, 2025
WPG @ CGY
5 - 4
Sep 27, 2025
CGY @ WPG
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+24.6% more
Winnipeg: 16.0
vs
Calgary: 12.1
Power Play % (L5)
+24.0%
Winnipeg: 25.2%
vs
Calgary: 1.2%
Hits (L5)
+13.7% more
Winnipeg: 18.6
vs
Calgary: 16.1
Shots on Goal (L5)
+26.3% more
Calgary: 34.9
vs
Winnipeg: 27.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WPG Score
3.0
4
CGY Score
1.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.1 / 16.0
22.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
55.5 / 54.6
50.0 / 50.0
Hits
16.1 / 18.6
27.0 / 21.0
Power Play %
1.2 / 25.2
33.3 / 100.0
Shots on Goal
34.9 / 27.6
34.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
5.3 / 5.0
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
WPG
CGY
WPG
ML
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
ATS
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
100%
4-0
TTL
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
Contextual Game News
