IU INDIANAPOLIS
JAGUARSIUIN
1-3 | Road
90
EASTERN MICHIGAN
EAGLESEMU
1-1 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
JAGUARS
100%
EAGLES
0%
JAGUARS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Eastern Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EMU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EMU)
IUIN By 1-7 points
21.6%
IUIN By 8-14 points
10.7%
EMU By 1-7 points
27.2%
EMU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
IU Indianapolis
78
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Eastern Michigan
81
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Simulated Score
IU Indianapolis
65
IU INDIANAPOLIS
Eastern Michigan
72
EASTERN MICHIGAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u186.5
Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u186.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
IUIN @ EMU
90 - 83
Nov 14, 2024
EMU @ IUIN
74 - 71
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.5%
Eastern Michigan: 32.8%
vs
IU Indianapolis: 31.2%
Assists (L5)
+56.8% more
IU Indianapolis: 23.8
vs
Eastern Michigan: 10.3
Steals (L5)
+56.2% more
IU Indianapolis: 15.9
vs
Eastern Michigan: 7.0
Turnovers (L5)
+21.2% more
IU Indianapolis: 14.8
vs
Eastern Michigan: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
IUIN Score
78.0
90
EMU Score
81.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.8 / 31.2
28.0 / 48.0
Assists
10.3 / 23.8
13.0 / 17.0
Blocks
3.5 / 4.2
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 46.6
41.0 / 55.0
Free Throw %
75.3 / 76.6
76.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
38.2 / 36.7
40.0 / 36.0
Steals
7.0 / 15.9
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.6 / 14.8
13.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IUIN
--
EMU
Advantage
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IUIN
--
EMU
Advantage
20-10-0
(66.7%)
Margin: -2.8
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
IUIN
--
EMU
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0%
Total +/-: -3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EMU
IUIN
EMU
IUIN
ML
65%
20-11
69%
22-10
70%
21-9
78%
25-7
ATS
65%
20-11
66%
21-11
70%
21-9
78%
25-7
TTL
71%
22-9
50%
16-16
100%
30-0
100%
32-0
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