AI Model Win Probability
RAMS
100%
GAELS
0%
RAMS
--
GAELS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
IONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Iona)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IONA -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IONA)
FOR By 1-7 points
2.2%
FOR By 8-14 points
0.4%
IONA By 1-7 points
9.3%
IONA By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Fordham
65
FORDHAM
Iona
84
IONA
Simulated Score
Fordham
68
FORDHAM
Iona
71
IONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Gaels
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Gaels
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Gaels (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Gaels (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim
u156.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
FOR @ IONA
71 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+53.2% more
Iona: 15.1
vs
Fordham: 9.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+12.7%
Iona: 38.5%
vs
Fordham: 25.8%
Assists (L5)
+8.2% more
Iona: 15.4
vs
Fordham: 14.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Iona: 48.4%
vs
Fordham: 44.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FOR Score
65.0
71
IONA Score
84.0
76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.5 / 25.8
38.0 / 19.0
Assists
15.4 / 14.2
18.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.1 / 3.3
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.4 / 44.0
49.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
66.6 / 72.3
56.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 42.5
31.0 / 48.0
Steals
8.0 / 8.7
3.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 9.9
7.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FOR
17-15-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
IONA
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FOR
16-12-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +1.6
IONA
Advantage
19-13-0
(59.4%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: 0.0
⚖️ Over/Under
FOR
7-22-0
O: 24.1% / U: 75.9%
Total +/-: -6.8
IONA
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IONA
FOR
IONA
FOR
ML
41%
13-19
59%
19-13
62%
20-12
59%
19-13
ATS
53%
17-15
59%
19-13
62%
20-12
59%
19-13
TTL
66%
21-11
59%
19-13
100%
32-0
100%
32-0