FURMAN
PALADINSFUR
1-2 | Road
54
NORTHERN IOWA
PANTHERSUNI
2-0 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
PALADINS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
PALADINS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
NORTHERN IOWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Northern Iowa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UNI -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNI)
FUR By 1-7 points
21.6%
FUR By 8-14 points
10.7%
UNI By 1-7 points
27.2%
UNI By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Furman
66
FURMAN
Northern Iowa
69
NORTHERN IOWA
Simulated Score
Furman
72
FURMAN
Northern Iowa
77
NORTHERN IOWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
FUR @ UNI
54 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+71.7% more
Northern Iowa: 4.2
vs
Furman: 2.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Northern Iowa: 36.6%
vs
Furman: 32.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Northern Iowa: 47.1%
vs
Furman: 44.2%
Rebounding (L5)
+25.9% more
Furman: 40.1
vs
Northern Iowa: 29.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FUR Score
66.0
54
UNI Score
69.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 32.2
30.0 / 13.0
Assists
15.7 / 15.7
11.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.2 / 2.5
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 44.2
46.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
65.0 / 69.0
82.0 / 55.0
Rebounding
29.7 / 40.1
35.0 / 33.0
Steals
6.9 / 6.5
7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.9 / 13.3
7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FUR
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
UNI
Advantage
23-13-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FUR
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 5.5
ATS +/-: -0.3
UNI
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 7.7
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
FUR
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
UNI
14-21-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0%
Total +/-: -4.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UNI
FUR
UNI
FUR
ML
51%
18-17
71%
25-10
56%
19-15
62%
21-13
ATS
49%
17-18
63%
22-13
56%
19-15
62%
21-13
TTL
69%
24-11
57%
20-15
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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