AI Model Win Probability
GREAT DANES
100%
RAMS
0%
GREAT DANES
--
RAMS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
RHODE ISLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Rhode Island)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around URI -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (URI)
UALB By 1-7 points
20.1%
UALB By 8-14 points
9.3%
URI By 1-7 points
27.4%
URI By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
UAlbany
69
UALBANY
Rhode Island
73
RHODE ISLAND
Simulated Score
UAlbany
68
UALBANY
Rhode Island
75
RHODE ISLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rams
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Rams
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Rams (+15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Rams (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
UALB @ URI
61 - 80
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+21.4% more
Rhode Island: 11.7
vs
UAlbany: 9.6
Blocks (L5)
+47.3% more
UAlbany: 4.6
vs
Rhode Island: 2.4
Assists (L5)
+34.9% more
UAlbany: 18.6
vs
Rhode Island: 12.1
Turnovers (L5)
+15.2% more
UAlbany: 15.1
vs
Rhode Island: 12.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UALB Score
69.0
61
URI Score
73.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.4 / 36.3
24.0 / 21.0
Assists
12.1 / 18.6
9.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.4 / 4.6
5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
47.1 / 47.3
42.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
76.2 / 75.3
89.0 / 64.0
Rebounding
34.9 / 38.3
38.0 / 38.0
Steals
11.7 / 9.6
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 15.1
9.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UALB
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
URI
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UALB
11-18-0
(37.9%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
URI
Advantage
13-18-1
(41.9%)
Margin: 1.7
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UALB
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7%
Total +/-: +0.3
URI
13-19-0
O: 40.6% / U: 59.4%
Total +/-: -5.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
URI
UALB
URI
UALB
ML
62%
20-12
55%
17-14
59%
19-13
71%
22-9
ATS
56%
18-14
77%
24-7
59%
19-13
72%
23-9
TTL
56%
18-14
61%
19-12
100%
32-0
100%
32-0