EASTERN ILLINOIS
PANTHERSEIU
1-2 | Road
53
KENTUCKY
WILDCATSUK
2-1 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
WILDCATS
0%
PANTHERS
--
WILDCATS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
KENTUCKY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Kentucky)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UK -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UK)
EIU By 1-7 points
20.1%
EIU By 8-14 points
9.3%
UK By 1-7 points
27.4%
UK By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Eastern Illinois
74
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Kentucky
78
KENTUCKY
Simulated Score
Eastern Illinois
55
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Kentucky
92
KENTUCKY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Wildcats
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Wildcats (+36.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Wildcats (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o148.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
EIU @ UK
53 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+85.2% more
Kentucky: 18.2
vs
Eastern Illinois: 9.9
Blocks (L5)
+32.7% more
Kentucky: 3.5
vs
Eastern Illinois: 2.7
Rebounding (L5)
+23.0% more
Kentucky: 42.2
vs
Eastern Illinois: 34.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.7%
Kentucky: 48.7%
vs
Eastern Illinois: 39.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
EIU Score
74.0
53
UK Score
78.0
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 30.4
36.0 / 33.0
Assists
18.2 / 9.9
21.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.5 / 2.7
5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.7 / 39.0
61.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
72.1 / 80.2
75.0 / 68.0
Rebounding
42.2 / 34.3
49.0 / 17.0
Steals
5.5 / 6.2
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 14.1
13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
EIU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
UK
Advantage
22-14-0
(61.1%)
Margin: 6.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
EIU
Advantage
15-13-2
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
UK
18-18-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 6.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.7
UK
18-18-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UK
EIU
UK
EIU
ML
71%
25-10
56%
18-14
72%
23-9
74%
23-8
ATS
83%
29-6
50%
16-16
72%
23-9
74%
23-8
TTL
63%
22-13
69%
22-10
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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