LOUISIANA
RAGIN' CAJUNSUL
1-2 | Road
62
MCNEESE
COWBOYSMCN
2-1 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
RAGIN' CAJUNS
100%
COWBOYS
0%
RAGIN' CAJUNS
--
COWBOYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
MCNEESE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (McNeese)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MCN -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MCN)
UL By 1-7 points
12.2%
UL By 8-14 points
4.0%
MCN By 1-7 points
24.3%
MCN By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Louisiana
59
LOUISIANA
McNeese
68
MCNEESE
Simulated Score
Louisiana
74
LOUISIANA
McNeese
78
MCNEESE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cowboys
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cowboys (+15.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Cowboys (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u134.5
Loss
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
UL @ MCN
62 - 88
Dec 22, 2024
MCN @ UL
64 - 56
Dec 17, 2023
UL @ MCN
72 - 74
Dec 15, 2022
UL @ MCN
78 - 70
Dec 8, 2021
MCN @ UL
68 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+120.1% more
McNeese: 20.4
vs
Louisiana: 9.3
Steals (L5)
+91.6% more
McNeese: 12.1
vs
Louisiana: 6.3
Rebounding (L5)
+34.2% more
McNeese: 40.9
vs
Louisiana: 30.5
Blocks (L5)
+24.7% more
McNeese: 3.6
vs
Louisiana: 2.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UL Score
59.0
62
MCN Score
68.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.4 / 30.4
48.0 / 27.0
Assists
20.4 / 9.3
19.0 / 6.0
Blocks
3.6 / 2.9
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
56.1 / 41.0
53.0 / 33.0
Free Throw %
75.4 / 57.3
77.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
40.9 / 30.5
30.0 / 32.0
Steals
12.1 / 6.3
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 10.1
11.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UL
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -0.8
MCN
Advantage
28-6-0
(82.4%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UL
14-18-1
(43.8%)
Margin: -7.0
ATS +/-: -0.8
MCN
Advantage
14-16-1
(46.7%)
Margin: 12.9
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UL
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -0.3
MCN
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MCN
UL
MCN
UL
ML
67%
22-11
66%
21-11
88%
28-4
63%
19-11
ATS
76%
25-8
66%
21-11
88%
28-4
63%
19-11
TTL
42%
14-19
62%
20-12
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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