HIGH POINT
PANTHERSHPU
3-0 | Road
74
UAB
BLAZERSUAB
1-2 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
BLAZERS
100%
PANTHERS
--
BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
154.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
HIGH POINT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (High Point)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around HPU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HPU)
HPU By 1-7 points
27.4%
HPU By 8-14 points
21.6%
UAB By 1-7 points
20.1%
UAB By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
High Point
79
HIGH POINT
UAB
75
UAB
Simulated Score
High Point
65
HIGH POINT
UAB
78
UAB
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blazers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Blazers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u168.5
Win
Proj Total: 154.0
D
Sim
u168.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
HPU @ UAB
74 - 91
Nov 15, 2024
UAB @ HPU
65 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+30.1% more
High Point: 12.0
vs
UAB: 8.4
Assists (L5)
+20.2% more
High Point: 17.1
vs
UAB: 13.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+17.8%
High Point: 38.7%
vs
UAB: 21.0%
Blocks (L5)
+16.9% more
High Point: 3.9
vs
UAB: 3.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HPU Score
79.0
74
UAB Score
75.0
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
21.0 / 38.7
31.0 / 17.0
Assists
13.6 / 17.1
16.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.2 / 3.9
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 52.9
51.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
72.0 / 71.7
77.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
42.0 / 35.4
38.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.4 / 12.0
9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 7.3
11.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HPU
Advantage
31-5-0
(86.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
UAB
20-12-0
(62.5%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HPU
Advantage
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 18.5
ATS +/-: +1.2
UAB
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 5.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
HPU
22-11-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +1.4
UAB
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8%
Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UAB
HPU
UAB
HPU
ML
59%
19-13
80%
28-7
41%
13-19
80%
28-7
ATS
56%
18-14
71%
25-10
41%
13-19
80%
28-7
TTL
69%
22-10
66%
23-12
100%
32-0
100%
35-0
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