Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Roadrunners @ Rebels CSUB @ MISS

CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD

ROADRUNNERSCSUB

2-1  |  Road

60
FINAL
Fri, Nov 14 • 7:30 PM ET
C. M. Tad Smith Coliseum
View Odds Details →

OLE MISS

REBELSMISS

3-0  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
ROADRUNNERS
100%
📊
REBELS
0%
ROADRUNNERS --
REBELS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
OLE MISS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Ole Miss)
RoadrunnersCSUB (-3.5) 0 RebelsMISS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Roadrunners Cover

38.2%

Rebels Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MISS -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MISS)

CSUB By 1-7 points

21.6%

CSUB By 8-14 points

10.7%

MISS By 1-7 points

27.2%

MISS By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
80
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
83
OLE MISS
Simulated Score
62
CAL STATE BAKERSFIELD
78
OLE MISS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rebels Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rebels Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rebels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Rebels (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 14, 2025 CSUB @ MISS 60 - 82
Dec 7, 2019 CSUB @ MISS 67 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +32.2% more
Ole Miss: 15.9 vs Cal State Bakersfield: 12.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +15.9%
Ole Miss: 46.6% vs Cal State Bakersfield: 30.8%
Steals (L5) +14.5% more
Ole Miss: 7.3 vs Cal State Bakersfield: 6.4
Field Goal % (L5) +7.0%
Ole Miss: 48.9% vs Cal State Bakersfield: 41.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CSUB Score 80.0 60
MISS Score 83.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 46.6 / 30.8 26.0 / 22.0
Assists 15.9 / 12.0 15.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.3 / 6.5 8.0 / 9.0
Field Goal % 48.9 / 41.9 44.0 / 43.0
Free Throw % 72.4 / 73.1 76.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 36.4 / 40.8 43.0 / 34.0
Steals 7.3 / 6.4 10.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 9.5 / 12.8 4.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CSUB Advantage
8-24-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -9.1 ATS +/-: -3.6
MISS
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CSUB Advantage
11-18-1 (37.9%)
Margin: -9.1 ATS +/-: -3.6
MISS
--
⚖️ Over/Under
CSUB
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3% Total +/-: +5.1
MISS
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MISS
CSUB
MISS
CSUB
ML
48% 16-17
55% 17-14
52% 17-16
71% 22-9
ATS
61% 20-13
61% 19-12
52% 17-16
71% 22-9
TTL
64% 21-12
58% 18-13
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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