EAST TEXAS A&M
LIONSETAM
1-2 | Road
64
RICE
OWLSRICE
1-2 | Home
71
AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
100%
OWLS
0%
LIONS
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
RICE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Rice)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RICE -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICE)
ETAM By 1-7 points
21.6%
ETAM By 8-14 points
10.7%
RICE By 1-7 points
27.2%
RICE By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
East Texas A&M
66
EAST TEXAS A&M
Rice
69
RICE
Simulated Score
East Texas A&M
65
EAST TEXAS A&M
Rice
77
RICE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Owls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Owls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Owls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
ETAM @ RICE
64 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+26.8% more
Rice: 4.0
vs
East Texas A&M: 3.2
Rebounding (L5)
+22.3% more
Rice: 39.5
vs
East Texas A&M: 32.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
Rice: 35.9%
vs
East Texas A&M: 31.5%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.6%
Rice: 69.6%
vs
East Texas A&M: 67.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ETAM Score
66.0
64
RICE Score
69.0
71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 31.5
52.0 / 27.0
Assists
12.4 / 16.3
13.0 / 16.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.2
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
39.8 / 43.1
47.0 / 49.0
Free Throw %
69.6 / 67.0
80.0 / 62.0
Rebounding
39.5 / 32.3
34.0 / 24.0
Steals
6.5 / 9.9
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 14.5
18.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ETAM
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.7
RICE
Advantage
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ETAM
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: -4.3
ATS +/-: -1.7
RICE
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
ETAM
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.3
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICE
ETAM
RICE
ETAM
ML
53%
16-14
52%
13-12
53%
16-14
62%
15-9
ATS
60%
18-12
56%
14-11
53%
16-14
62%
15-9
TTL
77%
23-7
68%
17-8
100%
30-0
100%
24-0
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