AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
BLUEJAYS
0%
HAWKS
--
BLUEJAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
164.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-50.0
CREIGHTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +50.0 points (Creighton)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CREI -50.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CREI)
UMES By 1-7 points
0.0%
UMES By 8-14 points
0.0%
CREI By 1-7 points
0.0%
CREI By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
57
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Creighton
107
CREIGHTON
Simulated Score
Maryland Eastern Shore
58
MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE
Creighton
88
CREIGHTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bluejays
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bluejays
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bluejays (+33.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -50.0
D
Sim
Bluejays (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -30.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o135.5
Loss
Proj Total: 164.0
D
Sim
u135.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
UMES @ CREI
45 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+18.2% more
Creighton: 14.6
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 12.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.9%
Creighton: 70.1%
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 67.2%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
Creighton: 45.4%
vs
Maryland Eastern Shore: 42.8%
Turnovers (L5)
+26.5% more
Maryland Eastern Shore: 18.2
vs
Creighton: 13.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UMES Score
57.0
45
CREI Score
107.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 35.9
30.0 / 13.0
Assists
14.6 / 12.3
23.0 / 11.0
Blocks
2.2 / 2.9
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 42.8
49.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
70.1 / 67.2
73.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
35.6 / 35.6
43.0 / 26.0
Steals
4.8 / 5.2
11.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
13.4 / 18.2
9.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UMES
9-23-0
(28.1%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
CREI
Advantage
16-18-0
(47.1%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UMES
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -6.4
ATS +/-: +0.2
CREI
11-22-1
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: -2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UMES
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: +0.5
CREI
16-18-0
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9%
Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CREI
UMES
CREI
UMES
ML
52%
17-16
66%
21-11
70%
21-9
81%
21-5
ATS
58%
19-14
69%
22-10
70%
21-9
81%
21-5
TTL
52%
17-16
66%
21-11
100%
30-0
100%
26-0