Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wildcats @ Blue Demons NU @ DEP

NORTHWESTERN

WILDCATSNU

3-0  |  Road

81
FINAL
Fri, Nov 14 • 8:30 PM ET
Wintrust Arena
View Odds Details →

DEPAUL

BLUE DEMONSDEP

2-1  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
WILDCATS
100%
📊
BLUE DEMONS
0%
WILDCATS --
BLUE DEMONS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
DEPAUL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (DePaul)
WildcatsNU (-3.5) 0 Blue DemonsDEP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wildcats Cover

8.1%

Blue Demons Cover

91.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEP -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEP)

NU By 1-7 points

5.8%

NU By 8-14 points

1.4%

DEP By 1-7 points

16.9%

DEP By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
65
NORTHWESTERN
79
DEPAUL
Simulated Score
65
NORTHWESTERN
78
DEPAUL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Blue Demons Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Blue Demons Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blue Demons (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Blue Demons (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 14, 2025 NU @ DEP 81 - 79
Dec 21, 2024 DEP @ NU 64 - 84
Dec 16, 2023 NU @ DEP 56 - 46
Dec 17, 2022 DEP @ NU 45 - 83
Dec 21, 2019 NU @ DEP 78 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +66.5% more
DePaul: 14.4 vs Northwestern: 8.7
Blocks (L5) +27.7% more
DePaul: 4.8 vs Northwestern: 3.8
Assists (L5) +25.0% more
Northwestern: 19.2 vs DePaul: 14.4
Free Throw % (L5) +10.5%
Northwestern: 70.3% vs DePaul: 59.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NU Score 65.0 81
DEP Score 79.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.8 / 38.0 33.0 / 44.0
Assists 14.4 / 19.2 16.0 / 17.0
Blocks 4.8 / 3.8 0.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 40.4 / 49.4 42.0 / 58.0
Free Throw % 59.7 / 70.3 81.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 37.5 / 38.3 34.0 / 25.0
Steals 7.4 / 7.3 3.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 8.7 13.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
59%MONEY41%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
65%TICKETS35%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
59%TICKETS41%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NU
15-19-0 (44.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: +0.6
DEP Advantage
16-16-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NU
16-16-2 (50.0%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-: +0.6
DEP Advantage
18-12-2 (60.0%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
NU
15-18-1
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.0
DEP
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEP
NU
DEP
NU
ML
59% 19-13
47% 16-18
80% 24-6
68% 23-11
ATS
50% 16-16
50% 17-17
80% 24-6
68% 23-11
TTL
53% 17-15
53% 18-16
100% 30-0
100% 34-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 7 hours, 22 minutes ago
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…
aggieswire 14 hours, 4 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 7 hours ago
Kansas Shakes Up Offensive Line: Amir Herring Promoted to Starti…
si 2 days, 7 hours ago
Kentucky's AP Poll Exit Exposes Uphill Battle for National Respe…
yahoo 3 days, 1 hour ago