MICHIGAN
WOLVERINESMICH
2-0 | Road
67
TCU
HORNED FROGSTCU
2-1 | Home
63
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVERINES
0%
HORNED FROGS
100%
WOLVERINES
--
HORNED FROGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
MICHIGAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Michigan)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MICH -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MICH)
MICH By 1-7 points
26.8%
MICH By 8-14 points
24.3%
TCU By 1-7 points
16.9%
TCU By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Michigan
75
MICHIGAN
TCU
69
TCU
Simulated Score
Michigan
68
MICHIGAN
TCU
72
TCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wolverines
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Horned Frogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wolverines (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Horned Frogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 14, 2025
MICH @ TCU
67 - 63
Nov 15, 2024
TCU @ MICH
64 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+24.2% more
Michigan: 19.1
vs
TCU: 14.5
Blocks (L5)
+22.3% more
Michigan: 6.0
vs
TCU: 4.6
Rebounding (L5)
+12.0% more
Michigan: 43.3
vs
TCU: 38.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.2%
Michigan: 76.8%
vs
TCU: 70.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MICH Score
75.0
67
TCU Score
69.0
63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 30.3
29.0 / 31.0
Assists
14.5 / 19.1
11.0 / 15.0
Blocks
4.6 / 6.0
8.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 47.0
37.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
70.6 / 76.8
67.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
38.1 / 43.3
23.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.2 / 5.4
11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 13.1
11.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MICH
Advantage
37-3-0
(92.5%)
Margin: 17.8
ATS +/-: +3.6
TCU
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MICH
19-21-0
(47.5%)
Margin: 17.8
ATS +/-: +3.6
TCU
Advantage
19-16-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 5.3
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
MICH
17-23-0
O: 42.5% / U: 57.5%
Total +/-: -1.6
TCU
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TCU
MICH
TCU
MICH
ML
74%
26-9
78%
31-9
63%
19-11
63%
24-14
ATS
74%
26-9
78%
31-9
63%
19-11
63%
24-14
TTL
66%
23-12
57%
23-17
100%
30-0
100%
38-0
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