Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Jaspers @ Rainbow Warriors MAN @ HAW

MANHATTAN

JASPERSMAN

2-1  |  Road

56
FINAL
Fri, Nov 14 • 11:59 PM ET
Stan Sheriff Center
View Odds Details →

HAWAI'I

RAINBOW WARRIORSHAW

2-1  |  Home

86
AI Model Win Probability
JASPERS
100%
📊
RAINBOW WARRIORS
0%
JASPERS --
RAINBOW WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
148.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
HAWAI'I
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Hawai'i)
JaspersMAN (-3.5) 0 Rainbow WarriorsHAW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jaspers Cover

27.4%

Rainbow Warriors Cover

72.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HAW -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HAW)

MAN By 1-7 points

16.9%

MAN By 8-14 points

6.8%

HAW By 1-7 points

26.8%

HAW By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
71
MANHATTAN
77
HAWAI'I
Simulated Score
68
MANHATTAN
72
HAWAI'I
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rainbow Warriors Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rainbow Warriors (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim Rainbow Warriors (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Sim u156.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 14, 2025 MAN @ HAW 56 - 86
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +26.7% more
Hawai'i: 13.4 vs Manhattan: 10.6
Assists (L5) +14.3% more
Hawai'i: 15.1 vs Manhattan: 13.2
Blocks (L5) +28.3% more
Manhattan: 3.2 vs Hawai'i: 2.3
Steals (L5) +20.5% more
Manhattan: 7.0 vs Hawai'i: 5.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MAN Score 71.0 56
HAW Score 77.0 86
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.9 / 35.7 45.0 / 36.0
Assists 15.1 / 13.2 14.0 / 9.0
Blocks 2.3 / 3.2 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 46.1 / 47.0 44.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 74.2 / 81.6 73.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 39.7 / 37.9 49.0 / 29.0
Steals 5.6 / 7.0 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 10.6 10.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MAN
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -3.1
HAW Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MAN
11-19-1 (36.7%)
Margin: -4.9 ATS +/-: -3.1
HAW Advantage
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MAN
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: +2.4
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HAW
MAN
HAW
MAN
ML
61% 20-13
52% 16-15
68% 21-10
68% 21-10
ATS
67% 22-11
52% 16-15
68% 21-10
69% 22-10
TTL
61% 20-13
77% 24-7
100% 31-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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