Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Matthew Schaefer
#48 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Karel Vejmelka
#70 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schaefer | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Karel Vejmelka | None-None | 2.92 | 0.905 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
2.92
--
Save %
0.905
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
MAMMOTH
0%
ISLANDERS
--
MAMMOTH
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around UTA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTA)
NYI By 1 goal
12.1%
NYI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
UTA By 1 goal
19.7%
UTA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Utah
3
UTAH
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Utah
3
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mammoth
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mammoth
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Mammoth (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Mammoth (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 1, 2026
UTA @ NYI
7 - 2
Nov 14, 2025
NYI @ UTA
3 - 2
Jan 11, 2025
NYI @ UTA
2 - 1
Oct 10, 2024
UTA @ NYI
5 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+21.1% more
Utah: 31.7
vs
New York: 26.1
Hits (L5)
+16.6% more
Utah: 16.3
vs
New York: 14.0
Takeaways (L5)
+14.2% more
Utah: 4.4
vs
New York: 3.8
Blocked Shots (L5)
+38.2% more
New York: 15.7
vs
Utah: 9.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
2.0
3
UTA Score
3.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
9.7 / 15.7
20.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
50.4 / 56.4
45.6 / 54.4
Hits
16.3 / 14.0
13.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
2.7 / 39.3
16.7 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
31.7 / 26.1
30.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
4.4 / 3.8
4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTA
NYI
UTA
NYI
ML
60%
3-2
75%
3-1
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
ATS
60%
3-2
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
25%
1-3
TTL
60%
3-2
67%
2-1-1
80%
4-1
100%
3-0-1