PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
7-4 | Road
105
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
10-2 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
PISTONS
0%
76ERS
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
195.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DET -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
PHI By 1-7 points
18.6%
PHI By 8-14 points
8.0%
DET By 1-7 points
27.2%
DET By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
95
PHILADELPHIA
Detroit
100
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
106
PHILADELPHIA
Detroit
121
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pistons
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pistons (-1)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Pistons (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u228.0
Win
Proj Total: 195.0
D
Sim
u228.0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 4, 2026
DET @ PHI
116 - 93
Mar 12, 2026
PHI @ DET
109 - 131
Nov 14, 2025
PHI @ DET
105 - 114
Nov 9, 2025
DET @ PHI
111 - 108
Feb 7, 2025
PHI @ DET
112 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+132.5% more
Detroit: 12.3
vs
Philadelphia: 5.3
Turnovers (L5)
+16.0% more
Detroit: 15.5
vs
Philadelphia: 13.4
Assists (L5)
+13.3% more
Detroit: 26.5
vs
Philadelphia: 23.4
Rebounding (L5)
+10.0% more
Detroit: 46.2
vs
Philadelphia: 42.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
95.0
105
DET Score
100.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.9 / 36.6
41.0 / 36.0
Assists
26.5 / 23.4
32.0 / 19.0
Blocks
4.7 / 5.9
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
50.2 / 45.4
45.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
68.1 / 76.1
83.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
46.2 / 42.0
46.0 / 46.0
Steals
12.3 / 5.3
9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 13.4
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
DET
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
PHI
DET
PHI
ML
55%
64-53
63%
69-40
49%
47-49
48%
45-48
ATS
53%
60-54-3
65%
71-38
49%
47-49
48%
45-48
TTL
60%
70-46-1
55%
60-49
100%
96-0
100%
93-0
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