CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
4-7 | Road
134
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
7-5 | Home
147
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
0%
BUCKS
100%
HORNETS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHA -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
CHA By 1-7 points
18.6%
CHA By 8-14 points
26.8%
MIL By 1-7 points
6.8%
MIL By 8-14 points
1.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Charlotte
118
CHARLOTTE
Milwaukee
105
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Charlotte
106
CHARLOTTE
Milwaukee
118
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hornets (-9)
Loss
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u238.0
Loss
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim
u238.0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 2, 2026
CHA @ MIL
121 - 122
Dec 29, 2025
MIL @ CHA
123 - 113
Nov 14, 2025
CHA @ MIL
134 - 147
Nov 12, 2025
MIL @ CHA
100 - 111
Feb 5, 2025
MIL @ CHA
112 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+33.7% more
Charlotte: 17.0
vs
Milwaukee: 11.3
Rebounding (L5)
+16.5% more
Charlotte: 44.1
vs
Milwaukee: 36.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.8%
Charlotte: 80.9%
vs
Milwaukee: 65.1%
Steals (L5)
+47.9% more
Milwaukee: 7.5
vs
Charlotte: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHA Score
118.0
134
MIL Score
105.0
147
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.3 / 35.7
59.0 / 38.0
Assists
25.5 / 24.0
37.0 / 31.0
Blocks
5.4 / 5.6
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 46.2
65.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
65.1 / 80.9
77.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
36.8 / 44.1
39.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.5 / 5.1
10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 17.0
22.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
CHA
MIL
CHA
ML
64%
61-35
61%
60-39
60%
49-32
48%
40-44
ATS
68%
65-31
60%
59-40
60%
49-32
48%
40-44
TTL
55%
53-43
58%
57-42
100%
81-0
100%
84-0
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