LA
CLIPPERSLAC
3-8 | Road
133
DALLAS
MAVERICKSDAL
3-9 | Home
127
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
MAVERICKS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
MAVERICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
0.8%
LAC By 8-14 points
4.0%
DAL By 1-7 points
0.1%
DAL By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
132
LA
Dallas
101
DALLAS
Simulated Score
LA
112
LA
Dallas
115
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mavericks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (+3.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Mavericks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o221.5
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Sim
u221.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 7, 2026
DAL @ LAC
103 - 116
Mar 21, 2026
LAC @ DAL
138 - 131
Nov 29, 2025
DAL @ LAC
114 - 110
Nov 14, 2025
LAC @ DAL
133 - 127
Apr 5, 2025
DAL @ LAC
104 - 135
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.0%
LA: 74.8%
vs
Dallas: 66.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.6%
LA: 36.6%
vs
Dallas: 29.9%
Steals (L5)
+63.3% more
Dallas: 9.5
vs
LA: 5.8
Rebounding (L5)
+28.4% more
Dallas: 45.2
vs
LA: 35.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
132.0
133
DAL Score
101.0
127
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.9 / 36.6
28.0 / 31.0
Assists
26.2 / 23.3
18.0 / 22.0
Blocks
7.5 / 5.9
7.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 47.3
44.0 / 47.0
Free Throw %
66.8 / 74.8
76.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
45.2 / 35.2
50.0 / 45.0
Steals
9.5 / 5.8
11.0 / 16.0
Turnovers
16.4 / 13.4
25.0 / 23.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DAL
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
DAL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
DAL
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
LAC
DAL
LAC
ML
62%
63-39
60%
59-40
54%
44-37
55%
45-37
ATS
67%
68-34
66%
65-33-1
54%
44-37
55%
45-37
TTL
59%
60-41-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
81-0
100%
82-0
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