Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Mountaineers PITT @ WVU

PITTSBURGH

PANTHERSPITT

3-0  |  Road

49
FINAL
Thu, Nov 13 • 6:00 PM ET
WVU Coliseum
View Odds Details →

WEST VIRGINIA

MOUNTAINEERSWVU

3-0  |  Home

71
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
100%
📊
MOUNTAINEERS
0%
PANTHERS --
MOUNTAINEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
110.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
WEST VIRGINIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (West Virginia)
PanthersPITT (-3.5) 0 MountaineersWVU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

42.1%

Mountaineers Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WVU -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WVU)

PITT By 1-7 points

23.0%

PITT By 8-14 points

12.2%

WVU By 1-7 points

26.8%

WVU By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
54
PITTSBURGH
56
WEST VIRGINIA
Simulated Score
68
PITTSBURGH
72
WEST VIRGINIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountaineers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mountaineers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Mountaineers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 110.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 13, 2025 PITT @ WVU 49 - 71
Nov 15, 2024 WVU @ PITT 62 - 86
Dec 6, 2023 PITT @ WVU 80 - 63
Nov 11, 2022 WVU @ PITT 81 - 56
Nov 12, 2021 PITT @ WVU 59 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +44.0% more
West Virginia: 8.8 vs Pittsburgh: 6.1
Blocks (L5) +40.6% more
Pittsburgh: 4.4 vs West Virginia: 2.6
Assists (L5) +13.6% more
Pittsburgh: 13.7 vs West Virginia: 11.8
Rebounding (L5) +12.2% more
Pittsburgh: 39.8 vs West Virginia: 35.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PITT Score 54.0 49
WVU Score 56.0 71
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.9 / 33.8 29.0 / 25.0
Assists 11.8 / 13.7 13.0 / 12.0
Blocks 2.6 / 4.4 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 43.4 / 44.6 43.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 67.1 / 68.4 76.0 / 67.0
Rebounding 35.0 / 39.8 34.0 / 31.0
Steals 8.8 / 6.1 6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 11.9 / 11.5 6.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
51%MONEY49%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
71%TICKETS29%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PITT
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
WVU Advantage
21-14-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PITT Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
WVU
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PITT
17-15-1
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: -0.2
WVU
13-21-1
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WVU
PITT
WVU
PITT
ML
63% 22-13
58% 19-14
76% 26-8
45% 15-18
ATS
60% 21-14
64% 21-12
76% 26-8
45% 15-18
TTL
40% 14-21
61% 20-13
100% 34-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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