Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Braves @ Bison ALCN @ HOW

ALCORN STATE

BRAVESALCN

0-4  |  Road

64
FINAL
Thu, Nov 13 • 7:00 PM ET
Burr Gymnasium
View Odds Details →

HOWARD

BISONHOW

1-2  |  Home

72
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
0%
📊
BISON
100%
BRAVES --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
ALCORN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (Alcorn State)
BravesALCN (-3.5) 0 BisonHOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Braves Cover

96.4%

Bison Cover

3.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ALCN -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ALCN)

ALCN By 1-7 points

10.7%

ALCN By 8-14 points

21.6%

HOW By 1-7 points

2.7%

HOW By 8-14 points

0.5%

AI Model Projected Score
84
ALCORN STATE
66
HOWARD
Simulated Score
70
ALCORN STATE
75
HOWARD
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Braves Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Braves (-6.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -18.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim u154.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 13, 2025 ALCN @ HOW 64 - 72
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +50.7% more
Alcorn State: 4.5 vs Howard: 2.2
Turnovers (L5) +12.5% more
Alcorn State: 17.5 vs Howard: 15.3
Assists (L5) +39.3% more
Howard: 16.4 vs Alcorn State: 11.8
Rebounding (L5) +14.7% more
Howard: 31.9 vs Alcorn State: 27.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ALCN Score 84.0 64
HOW Score 66.0 72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.4 / 36.6 27.0 / 29.0
Assists 16.4 / 11.8 12.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.2 / 4.5 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 48.0 / 42.6 57.0 / 41.0
Free Throw % 75.8 / 66.6 68.0 / 83.0
Rebounding 31.9 / 27.8 32.0 / 20.0
Steals 7.4 / 7.8 7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 15.3 / 17.5 17.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
31%TICKETS69%
68%MONEY32%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
45%TICKETS55%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ALCN
9-23-0 (28.1%)
Margin: -13.3 ATS +/-: -0.8
HOW Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ALCN
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: -13.3 ATS +/-: -0.8
HOW Advantage
22-8-1 (73.3%)
Margin: 8.6 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ALCN
15-16-1
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6% Total +/-: -0.5
HOW
14-17-0
O: 45.2% / U: 54.8% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOW
ALCN
HOW
ALCN
ML
59% 20-14
66% 21-11
71% 22-9
75% 18-6
ATS
59% 20-14
68% 21-10-1
71% 22-9
75% 18-6
TTL
62% 21-13
47% 15-17
100% 31-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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