AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
PIRATES
0%
HAWKS
--
PIRATES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SETON HALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Seton Hall)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HALL -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HALL)
MONM By 1-7 points
24.3%
MONM By 8-14 points
13.7%
HALL By 1-7 points
26.2%
HALL By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Monmouth
68
MONMOUTH
Seton Hall
69
SETON HALL
Simulated Score
Monmouth
61
MONMOUTH
Seton Hall
72
SETON HALL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pirates
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pirates
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pirates (+14.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Pirates (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 13, 2025
MONM @ HALL
58 - 70
Nov 30, 2024
MONM @ HALL
63 - 51
Dec 12, 2023
MONM @ HALL
61 - 70
Nov 9, 2022
MONM @ HALL
52 - 79
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+26.5% more
Seton Hall: 9.8
vs
Monmouth: 7.7
Turnovers (L5)
+18.9% more
Monmouth: 11.9
vs
Seton Hall: 9.7
Assists (L5)
+15.5% more
Monmouth: 14.9
vs
Seton Hall: 12.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.8%
Monmouth: 33.4%
vs
Seton Hall: 29.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MONM Score
68.0
58
HALL Score
69.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.6 / 33.4
32.0 / 38.0
Assists
12.6 / 14.9
12.0 / 8.0
Blocks
8.5 / 8.1
10.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
41.6 / 43.6
34.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
67.6 / 69.4
78.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 38.0
37.0 / 36.0
Steals
9.8 / 7.7
13.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
9.7 / 11.9
8.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MONM
19-15-0
(55.9%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
HALL
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MONM
17-15-1
(53.1%)
Margin: 1.8
ATS +/-: +1.9
HALL
Advantage
19-14-0
(57.6%)
Margin: 5.0
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MONM
16-17-0
O: 48.5% / U: 51.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
HALL
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HALL
MONM
HALL
MONM
ML
41%
13-19
62%
21-13
60%
18-12
64%
21-12
ATS
50%
16-16
62%
21-13
60%
18-12
64%
21-12
TTL
53%
17-15
59%
20-14
100%
30-0
100%
33-0