AI Model Win Probability
RAMBLERS
0%
SHOCKERS
100%
RAMBLERS
--
SHOCKERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
136.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Loyola Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LUC -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LUC)
LUC By 1-7 points
25.3%
LUC By 8-14 points
26.2%
WICH By 1-7 points
13.7%
WICH By 8-14 points
4.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Loyola Chicago
72
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Wichita State
64
WICHITA STATE
Simulated Score
Loyola Chicago
68
LOYOLA CHICAGO
Wichita State
72
WICHITA STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Ramblers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Shockers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Ramblers (-5.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim
Shockers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u153.5
Loss
Proj Total: 136.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 13, 2025
LUC @ WICH
74 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+18.2% more
Loyola Chicago: 15.0
vs
Wichita State: 12.3
Steals (L5)
+48.9% more
Wichita State: 7.1
vs
Loyola Chicago: 4.8
Rebounding (L5)
+24.6% more
Wichita State: 42.4
vs
Loyola Chicago: 34.0
Blocks (L5)
+9.1% more
Wichita State: 5.5
vs
Loyola Chicago: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LUC Score
72.0
74
WICH Score
64.0
95
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 27.8
50.0 / 44.0
Assists
12.3 / 15.0
17.0 / 14.0
Blocks
5.5 / 5.1
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 39.5
49.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
71.2 / 72.1
68.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
42.4 / 34.0
37.0 / 35.0
Steals
7.1 / 4.8
6.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 11.3
2.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LUC
9-24-0
(27.3%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
WICH
Advantage
24-12-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LUC
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -9.0
ATS +/-: -4.7
WICH
Advantage
22-13-0
(62.9%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +3.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LUC
14-19-0
O: 42.4% / U: 57.6%
Total +/-: -1.9
WICH
15-20-0
O: 42.9% / U: 57.1%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WICH
LUC
WICH
LUC
ML
61%
22-14
55%
18-15
68%
23-11
50%
16-16
ATS
64%
23-13
64%
21-12
68%
23-11
50%
16-16
TTL
69%
25-11
76%
25-8
100%
34-0
100%
32-0