GREEN BAY
PHOENIXGB
1-2 | Road
61
ST. THOMAS-MINNESOTA
TOMMIESSTMN
1-2 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
PHOENIX
0%
TOMMIES
100%
PHOENIX
--
TOMMIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+4.0
ST. THOMAS-MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around STMN +4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STMN)
GB By 1-7 points
27.4%
GB By 8-14 points
21.6%
STMN By 1-7 points
20.1%
STMN By 8-14 points
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Green Bay
78
GREEN BAY
St. Thomas-Minnesota
74
ST. THOMAS-MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
Green Bay
68
GREEN BAY
St. Thomas-Minnesota
73
ST. THOMAS-MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Phoenix
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tommies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tommies (+13.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +4.0
D
Sim
Tommies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 13, 2025
GB @ STMN
61 - 80
Nov 8, 2024
STMN @ GB
90 - 76
Nov 25, 2023
STMN @ GB
51 - 64
Dec 13, 2022
GB @ STMN
61 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+30.9% more
Green Bay: 3.5
vs
St. Thomas-Minnesota: 2.4
Rebounding (L5)
+22.5% more
Green Bay: 33.9
vs
St. Thomas-Minnesota: 26.2
Assists (L5)
+17.0% more
Green Bay: 17.1
vs
St. Thomas-Minnesota: 14.2
Turnovers (L5)
+8.1% more
Green Bay: 9.4
vs
St. Thomas-Minnesota: 8.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GB Score
78.0
61
STMN Score
74.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.1 / 30.8
37.0 / 25.0
Assists
14.2 / 17.1
21.0 / 15.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.5
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.5 / 45.5
50.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
70.3 / 69.7
90.0 / 57.0
Rebounding
26.2 / 33.9
31.0 / 36.0
Steals
9.0 / 4.1
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
8.6 / 9.4
9.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GB
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
STMN
Advantage
24-10-0
(70.6%)
Margin: 10.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GB
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
STMN
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 10.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
STMN
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
STMN
GB
STMN
GB
ML
64%
21-12
48%
16-17
64%
21-12
67%
22-11
ATS
70%
23-10
52%
17-16
64%
21-12
67%
22-11
TTL
61%
20-13
58%
19-14
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
