UL MONROE
WARHAWKSULM
1-2 | Road
61
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
HUSKIESHCU
1-1 | Home
72
AI Model Win Probability
WARHAWKS
100%
HUSKIES
0%
WARHAWKS
--
HUSKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
125.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Houston Christian)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HCU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HCU)
ULM By 1-7 points
24.3%
ULM By 8-14 points
13.7%
HCU By 1-7 points
26.2%
HCU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
UL Monroe
62
UL MONROE
Houston Christian
63
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Simulated Score
UL Monroe
68
UL MONROE
Houston Christian
72
HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Huskies
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Huskies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Huskies (+8.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Huskies (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 125.0
D
Sim
u143.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 13, 2025
ULM @ HCU
61 - 72
Dec 17, 2024
HCU @ ULM
74 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+132.7% more
Houston Christian: 5.8
vs
UL Monroe: 2.5
Turnovers (L5)
+8.8% more
Houston Christian: 13.8
vs
UL Monroe: 12.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+21.5%
UL Monroe: 74.7%
vs
Houston Christian: 53.2%
Assists (L5)
+15.8% more
UL Monroe: 14.5
vs
Houston Christian: 12.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ULM Score
62.0
61
HCU Score
63.0
72
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.6 / 35.5
29.0 / 30.0
Assists
12.2 / 14.5
21.0 / 14.0
Blocks
5.8 / 2.5
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
41.7 / 45.8
44.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
53.2 / 74.7
80.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
31.7 / 34.3
40.0 / 30.0
Steals
8.2 / 7.7
11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 12.7
10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ULM
4-28-0
(12.5%)
Margin: -11.5
ATS +/-: -0.9
HCU
Advantage
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ULM
Advantage
18-12-0
(60.0%)
Margin: -11.5
ATS +/-: -0.9
HCU
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: -5.1
ATS +/-: -0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
ULM
20-9-1
O: 69.0% / U: 31.0%
Total +/-: +5.8
HCU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HCU
ULM
HCU
ULM
ML
68%
21-10
50%
16-16
81%
25-6
70%
21-9
ATS
58%
18-13
78%
25-7
81%
26-6
70%
21-9
TTL
68%
21-10
59%
19-13
100%
32-0
100%
30-0
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