AI Model Win Probability
BUCCANEERS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
BUCCANEERS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
139.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
ALABAMA A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Alabama A&M)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AAMU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AAMU)
CHSO By 1-7 points
24.3%
CHSO By 8-14 points
13.7%
AAMU By 1-7 points
26.2%
AAMU By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Charleston Southern
69
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Alabama A&M
70
ALABAMA A&M
Simulated Score
Charleston Southern
68
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Alabama A&M
72
ALABAMA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Sim
u152.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 13, 2025
CHSO @ AAMU
64 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+13.5% more
Alabama A&M: 13.3
vs
Charleston Southern: 11.7
Assists (L5)
+37.0% more
Charleston Southern: 19.1
vs
Alabama A&M: 12.1
Rebounding (L5)
+26.8% more
Charleston Southern: 40.6
vs
Alabama A&M: 29.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+6.8%
Charleston Southern: 45.0%
vs
Alabama A&M: 38.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHSO Score
69.0
64
AAMU Score
70.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.4 / 35.9
29.0 / 30.0
Assists
12.1 / 19.1
10.0 / 12.0
Blocks
2.8 / 2.6
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
38.1 / 45.0
39.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
67.5 / 67.2
92.0 / 58.0
Rebounding
29.7 / 40.6
39.0 / 40.0
Steals
5.6 / 5.3
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.3 / 11.7
14.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHSO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
AAMU
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHSO
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
AAMU
Advantage
15-15-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
AAMU
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AAMU
CHSO
AAMU
CHSO
ML
55%
16-13
43%
13-17
67%
16-8
67%
20-10
ATS
55%
16-13
50%
15-15
67%
16-8
68%
21-10
TTL
66%
19-10
50%
15-15
100%
24-0
100%
31-0