ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
7-5 | Road
132
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
4-7 | Home
122
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
JAZZ
100%
HAWKS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
213.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-43.0
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +43.0 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ATL -43.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ATL By 1-7 points
0.0%
ATL By 8-14 points
0.2%
UTAH By 1-7 points
0.0%
UTAH By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
128
ATLANTA
Utah
85
UTAH
Simulated Score
Atlanta
114
ATLANTA
Utah
118
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jazz
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hawks (+2)
Win
Proj Spread: -43.0
D
Sim
Jazz (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u234.0
Loss
Proj Total: 213.0
D
Sim
u234.0
Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
UTAH @ ATL
119 - 121
Nov 13, 2025
ATL @ UTAH
132 - 122
Apr 6, 2025
UTAH @ ATL
134 - 147
Jan 7, 2025
ATL @ UTAH
124 - 121
Mar 15, 2024
ATL @ UTAH
122 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+48.8% more
Atlanta: 10.2
vs
Utah: 5.2
Blocks (L5)
+48.2% more
Atlanta: 6.0
vs
Utah: 3.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.2%
Atlanta: 50.1%
vs
Utah: 45.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
Atlanta: 37.7%
vs
Utah: 35.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
128.0
132
UTAH Score
85.0
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 37.7
43.0 / 51.0
Assists
29.3 / 31.7
39.0 / 36.0
Blocks
3.1 / 6.0
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 50.1
49.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
78.3 / 77.9
62.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
42.9 / 39.9
49.0 / 43.0
Steals
5.2 / 10.2
9.0 / 18.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 15.8
24.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
ATL
UTAH
ATL
ML
60%
96-63
50%
52-52
48%
40-43
55%
48-40
ATS
68%
108-51
53%
55-48-1
48%
40-43
55%
48-40
TTL
75%
119-39-1
53%
55-48-1
100%
83-0
100%
88-0
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