ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

11-4-1  |  Road

3
FINAL
Thu, Nov 13 • 7:00 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

9-7-0  |  Home

6
Goaltending
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
@
John Gibson
GOALTENDER

John Gibson

#36 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Lukas Dostal None-None 5.05 0.844 --
John Gibson None-None 3.00 0.882 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
5.05 GAA Ldr 3.00
0.844 Save % Ldr 0.882
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
DUCKS
0%
📊
RED WINGS
100%
DUCKS --
RED WINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Anaheim)
DucksANA (-3.5) 0 Red WingsDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ducks Cover

84.1%

Red Wings Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around ANA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

ANA By 1 goal

17.5%

ANA By 2-3 goals

37.2%

DET By 1 goal

6.6%

DET By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
ANAHEIM
1
DETROIT
Simulated Score
2
ANAHEIM
4
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Ducks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Wings Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Ducks (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Red Wings (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 13, 2025 ANA @ DET 3 - 6
Oct 31, 2025 DET @ ANA 2 - 5
Feb 23, 2025 ANA @ DET 4 - 5
Nov 15, 2024 DET @ ANA 4 - 6
Jan 7, 2024 DET @ ANA 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +47.0% more
Anaheim: 5.4 vs Detroit: 2.9
Blocked Shots (L5) +24.6% more
Anaheim: 16.1 vs Detroit: 12.2
Hits (L5) +14.5% more
Anaheim: 21.4 vs Detroit: 18.3
Power Play % (L5) +11.9%
Anaheim: 18.4% vs Detroit: 6.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ANA Score 3.0 3
DET Score 1.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 12.2 / 16.1 17.0 / 14.0
Faceoff % 49.4 / 46.5 49.2 / 50.8
Hits 18.3 / 21.4 16.0 / 21.0
Power Play % 6.5 / 18.4 50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 34.9 / 29.4 33.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 2.9 / 5.4 7.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
83%MONEY17%