BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
11-7-0 | Road
3
OTTAWA
SENATORSOTT
8-5-4 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Nikita Zadorov
#91 | Defense@
GOALTENDER
Artem Zub
#2 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Zadorov | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
| Artem Zub | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
--
GAA
--
--
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BRUINS
100%
SENATORS
0%
BRUINS
--
SENATORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
OTTAWA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Ottawa)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around OTT -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OTT)
BOS By 1 goal
12.1%
BOS By 2-3 goals
9.3%
OTT By 1 goal
19.7%
OTT By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
Ottawa
3
OTTAWA
Simulated Score
Boston
2
BOSTON
Ottawa
4
OTTAWA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Senators
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Senators
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Senators (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Senators (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 5, 2026
OTT @ BOS
4 - 1
Dec 21, 2025
OTT @ BOS
6 - 2
Nov 13, 2025
BOS @ OTT
3 - 5
Nov 6, 2025
OTT @ BOS
2 - 3
Oct 27, 2025
BOS @ OTT
2 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+13.3% more
Ottawa: 4.9
vs
Boston: 4.3
Blocked Shots (L5)
+10.2% more
Ottawa: 14.3
vs
Boston: 13.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.3%
Ottawa: 53.9%
vs
Boston: 47.6%
Power Play % (L5)
+42.0%
Boston: 45.1%
vs
Ottawa: 3.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
2.0
3
OTT Score
3.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.3 / 13.0
19.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
53.9 / 47.6
60.4 / 39.6
Hits
21.4 / 21.2
26.0 / 30.0
Power Play %
3.1 / 45.1
50.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
24.6 / 30.4
22.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
4.9 / 4.3
7.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OTT
BOS
OTT
BOS
ML
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
ATS
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
TTL
67%
2-1
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
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