NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
8-6-2 | Road
4
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
7-4-4 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Shea Theodore
#27 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 2.91 | 0.897 | -- |
| Shea Theodore | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.91
GAA
--
0.897
Save %
--
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
0%
ISLANDERS
--
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VEGAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
NYI By 1 goal
12.1%
NYI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
VGK By 1 goal
19.7%
VGK By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Golden Knights
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Golden Knights (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 9, 2025
VGK @ NYI
4 - 5
Nov 13, 2025
NYI @ VGK
4 - 3
Feb 4, 2025
VGK @ NYI
1 - 2
Jan 9, 2025
NYI @ VGK
4 - 0
Jan 23, 2024
VGK @ NYI
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+47.3% more
Vegas: 6.2
vs
New York: 4.2
Shots on Goal (L5)
+19.5% more
Vegas: 32.5
vs
New York: 27.2
Hits (L5)
+15.0% more
Vegas: 19.0
vs
New York: 16.5
Power Play % (L5)
+38.1%
New York: 49.0%
vs
Vegas: 10.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
3.0
4
VGK Score
4.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.6 / 16.6
12.0 / 14.0
Faceoff %
53.4 / 56.2
43.4 / 56.6
Hits
19.0 / 16.5
22.0 / 9.0
Power Play %
10.9 / 49.0
0.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal
32.5 / 27.2
29.0 / 24.0
Takeaways
6.2 / 4.2
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
NYI
VGK
NYI
ML
75%
3-1
67%
2-1
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
ATS
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
TTL
25%
1-3
100%
2-0-1
50%
2-2
100%
2-0-1
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