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PRESBYTERIAN

BLUE HOSEPRES

3-1  |  Road

61
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Colonial Life Arena
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

GAMECOCKSSC

2-0  |  Home

81
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HOSE
100%
📊
GAMECOCKS
0%
BLUE HOSE --
GAMECOCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
140.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (South Carolina)
Blue HosePRES (-3.5) 0 GamecocksSC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Hose Cover

42.1%

Gamecocks Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SC -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)

PRES By 1-7 points

23.0%

PRES By 8-14 points

12.2%

SC By 1-7 points

26.8%

SC By 8-14 points

18.6%

AI Model Projected Score
69
PRESBYTERIAN
71
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
58
PRESBYTERIAN
75
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Gamecocks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Gamecocks (+15.5) Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim Gamecocks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o137.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Sim u137.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 12, 2025 PRES @ SC 61 - 81
Dec 30, 2024 PRES @ SC 59 - 69
Dec 11, 2022 PRES @ SC 57 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +33.5% more
South Carolina: 16.5 vs Presbyterian: 12.4
Free Throw % (L5) +3.9%
South Carolina: 77.4% vs Presbyterian: 73.5%
Blocks (L5) +50.3% more
Presbyterian: 4.4 vs South Carolina: 2.2
Turnovers (L5) +10.5% more
Presbyterian: 13.9 vs South Carolina: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PRES Score 69.0 61
SC Score 71.0 81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.0 / 36.5 32.0 / 0.0
Assists 16.5 / 12.4 15.0 / 16.0
Blocks 2.2 / 4.4 3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 41.4 / 46.1 42.0 / 42.0
Free Throw % 77.4 / 73.5 78.0 / 55.0
Rebounding 36.2 / 34.0 37.0 / 37.0
Steals 5.2 / 5.2 2.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 12.4 / 13.9 6.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
10%MONEY90%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PRES Advantage
15-18-0 (45.5%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
SC
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PRES Advantage
17-13-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.2 ATS +/-: +0.7
SC
14-18-0 (43.8%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +0.7
SC
14-16-2
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3% Total +/-: +1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
PRES
SC
PRES
ML
72% 23-9
69% 22-10
68% 21-10
80% 24-6
ATS
69% 22-10
59% 19-13
68% 21-10
80% 24-6
TTL
50% 16-16
59% 19-13
100% 31-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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