AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
BULLS
0%
EAGLES
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
SOUTH FLORIDA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (South Florida)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around USF -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USF)
COPP By 1-7 points
10.7%
COPP By 8-14 points
3.3%
USF By 1-7 points
23.0%
USF By 8-14 points
27.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Coppin State
68
COPPIN STATE
South Florida
78
SOUTH FLORIDA
Simulated Score
Coppin State
62
COPPIN STATE
South Florida
78
SOUTH FLORIDA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulls
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulls (+34.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 12, 2025
COPP @ USF
50 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+91.4% more
South Florida: 11.4
vs
Coppin State: 5.9
Blocks (L5)
+68.2% more
South Florida: 4.3
vs
Coppin State: 2.6
Rebounding (L5)
+24.8% more
South Florida: 38.8
vs
Coppin State: 31.1
Assists (L5)
+14.1% more
South Florida: 13.2
vs
Coppin State: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COPP Score
68.0
50
USF Score
78.0
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
26.0 / 36.8
32.0 / 18.0
Assists
13.2 / 11.6
21.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.3 / 2.6
6.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 40.1
52.0 / 31.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 74.1
67.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
38.8 / 31.1
47.0 / 28.0
Steals
11.4 / 5.9
11.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.4 / 17.0
9.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COPP
7-24-0
(22.6%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
USF
Advantage
25-9-0
(73.5%)
Margin: 11.7
ATS +/-: +1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COPP
13-17-0
(43.3%)
Margin: -14.9
ATS +/-: -1.6
USF
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 11.7
ATS +/-: +1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
COPP
19-11-0
O: 63.3% / U: 36.7%
Total +/-: +2.1
USF
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USF
COPP
USF
COPP
ML
61%
20-13
65%
20-11
52%
16-15
79%
19-5
ATS
61%
20-13
68%
21-10
52%
16-15
79%
19-5
TTL
52%
17-16
52%
16-15
100%
31-0
100%
24-0