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SAINT PETER'S

PEACOCKSSPU

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61
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Siegel Center
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VCU

RAMSVCU

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78
AI Model Win Probability
PEACOCKS
100%
📊
RAMS
0%
PEACOCKS --
RAMS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
VCU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (VCU)
PeacocksSPU (-3.5) 0 RamsVCU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Peacocks Cover

46.0%

Rams Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around VCU -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VCU)

SPU By 1-7 points

24.3%

SPU By 8-14 points

13.7%

VCU By 1-7 points

26.2%

VCU By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
66
SAINT PETER'S
67
VCU
Simulated Score
65
SAINT PETER'S
72
VCU
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rams Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Rams Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Rams (+21.5) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim Rams (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u146.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 12, 2025 SPU @ VCU 61 - 78
Nov 9, 2021 SPU @ VCU 54 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +81.1% more
VCU: 6.8 vs Saint Peter's: 3.8
Assists (L5) +33.6% more
VCU: 16.0 vs Saint Peter's: 11.9
Turnovers (L5) +14.5% more
VCU: 13.6 vs Saint Peter's: 11.9
Field Goal % (L5) +4.7%
VCU: 43.7% vs Saint Peter's: 39.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SPU Score 66.0 61
VCU Score 67.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.0 / 31.8 36.0 / 25.0
Assists 16.0 / 11.9 16.0 / 8.0
Blocks 6.8 / 3.8 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.7 / 39.0 45.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 66.8 / 77.8 74.0 / 89.0
Rebounding 37.7 / 35.1 39.0 / 37.0
Steals 8.2 / 7.7 7.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 11.9 17.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
24%MONEY76%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
37%TICKETS63%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
37%MONEY63%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SPU
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
VCU Advantage
28-8-0 (77.8%)
Margin: 9.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SPU Advantage
16-11-1 (59.3%)
Margin: 2.4 ATS +/-: +0.2
VCU
18-18-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 9.1 ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
SPU
10-18-0
O: 35.7% / U: 64.3% Total +/-: -0.2
VCU
16-20-0
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6% Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VCU
SPU
VCU
SPU
ML
72% 26-10
64% 18-10
67% 22-11
71% 20-8
ATS
81% 29-7
71% 20-8
67% 22-11
71% 20-8
TTL
58% 21-15
61% 17-11
100% 33-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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