Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Hawks @ Hokies JOES @ VT

SAINT JOSEPH'S

HAWKSJOES

2-0  |  Road

59
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Cassell Coliseum
View Odds Details →

VIRGINIA TECH

HOKIESVT

2-0  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
📊
HOKIES
100%
HAWKS --
HOKIES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+11.0
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
HawksJOES (-3.5) 0 HokiesVT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hawks Cover

13.6%

Hokies Cover

86.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around VT +11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VT)

JOES By 1-7 points

21.6%

JOES By 8-14 points

27.4%

VT By 1-7 points

9.3%

VT By 8-14 points

2.7%

AI Model Projected Score
80
SAINT JOSEPH'S
69
VIRGINIA TECH
Simulated Score
68
SAINT JOSEPH'S
75
VIRGINIA TECH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hokies Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Hokies (+11.5) Win
Proj Spread: +11.0
D
Sim Hokies (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 12, 2025 JOES @ VT 59 - 94
Dec 21, 2024 VT @ JOES 62 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +18.3%
Saint Joseph's: 83.1% vs Virginia Tech: 64.8%
Turnovers (L5) +34.9% more
Virginia Tech: 12.6 vs Saint Joseph's: 9.4
Assists (L5) +22.6% more
Virginia Tech: 13.6 vs Saint Joseph's: 11.1
Steals (L5) +12.6% more
Virginia Tech: 7.6 vs Saint Joseph's: 6.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JOES Score 80.0 59
VT Score 69.0 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 28.4 41.0 / 18.0
Assists 13.6 / 11.1 23.0 / 11.0
Blocks 4.9 / 5.3 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.3 / 38.9 52.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 64.8 / 83.1 58.0 / 80.0
Rebounding 40.8 / 39.6 40.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.6 / 6.7 12.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 9.4 7.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
7%TICKETS93%
41%MONEY59%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
48%MONEY52%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
81%MONEY19%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JOES Advantage
24-12-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: +1.9
VT
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JOES Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 2.9 ATS +/-: +1.9
VT
17-14-1 (54.8%)
Margin: 3.9 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
JOES
11-23-0
O: 32.4% / U: 67.7% Total +/-: -3.3
VT
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VT
JOES
VT
JOES
ML
53% 17-15
51% 18-17
72% 23-9
61% 20-13
ATS
59% 19-13
60% 21-14
72% 23-9
61% 20-13
TTL
69% 22-10
54% 19-16
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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