Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Ospreys @ Volunteers UNF @ TENN

NORTH FLORIDA

OSPREYSUNF

0-1  |  Road

66
FINAL
Wed, Nov 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Food City Center
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE

VOLUNTEERSTENN

2-0  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
OSPREYS
100%
📊
VOLUNTEERS
0%
OSPREYS --
VOLUNTEERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
155.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Tennessee)
OspreysUNF (-3.5) 0 VolunteersTENN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ospreys Cover

24.2%

Volunteers Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TENN -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TENN)

UNF By 1-7 points

15.3%

UNF By 8-14 points

5.8%

TENN By 1-7 points

26.2%

TENN By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
74
NORTH FLORIDA
81
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
58
NORTH FLORIDA
85
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Volunteers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Volunteers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Volunteers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Volunteers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 155.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 12, 2025 UNF @ TENN 66 - 99
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +72.4% more
Tennessee: 18.5 vs North Florida: 10.8
Rebounding (L5) +43.8% more
Tennessee: 42.6 vs North Florida: 29.7
Blocks (L5) +21.3% more
Tennessee: 2.6 vs North Florida: 2.1
Field Goal % (L5) +6.7%
Tennessee: 46.6% vs North Florida: 39.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNF Score 74.0 66
TENN Score 81.0 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.4 / 33.4 30.0 / 29.0
Assists 18.5 / 10.8 26.0 / 13.0
Blocks 2.6 / 2.1 9.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 46.6 / 39.8 52.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 73.6 / 76.2 71.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 42.6 / 29.7 52.0 / 24.0
Steals 6.4 / 6.0 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 13.5 14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
46%TICKETS54%
42%MONEY58%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNF
7-25-0 (21.9%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: +1.1
TENN Advantage
25-12-0 (67.6%)
Margin: 9.3 ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNF Advantage
17-12-0 (58.6%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: +1.1
TENN
17-19-1 (47.2%)
Margin: 9.3 ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UNF
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +3.5
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TENN
UNF
TENN
UNF
ML
46% 17-20
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
66% 21-11
ATS
54% 20-17
69% 22-10
64% 21-12
66% 21-11
TTL
76% 28-9
66% 21-11
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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